No, I wasn't surprised when Gov. Romney announced he wasn't running for re-election. Neither was anyone else, although the reaction seemed otherwise. The Globe's Brian McGrory thinks he's a strong candidate for President, even though he's been a middling to failed governor.
McGrory is only explaining the Romney camp's thinking, but it's still a bit rosy. I think Romney is a second-tier candidate at best. His best hope is a strong Iowa, a win in New Hampshire over the wildly popular John McCain and at least second place in South Carolina. If he doesn't do that, he'll bow out early. If he does hit that trifecta, he runs through to the primary and becomes a handsome VP candidate. At the very least, he'll be a shoo-in for Homeland Defense Director or another cabinet post.